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Oscar Watch: Best Actress Oscar odds favor Robert's gritty woman 03/09/2001 By Jane Sumner / The Dallas Morning News This year's best-actress run for the Oscar fields a formidable slate. Only Juliette Binoche, propelled by media-savvy Miramax, seems out of place. Her hedonistic chocolatier is a lovely creation but hardly worthy of nomination.The odds-on favorite is Julia Roberts, winner of a bellwether Golden Globe, for the title role of a sexy, smart-mouthed single mother turned legal eagle in Erin Brockovich. Or as her Hollywood Boulevard hooker assured Richard Gere in an ad-libbed line in Pretty Woman: "Let me give you a tip I'm a sure thing." Before agreeing to the Erin role, the actress had never heard of real-life legal assistant Erin Brockovich or the class-action law suit that she helped wage against Pacific Gas and Electric for knowingly poisoning the water. In a way, the part is not unlike the down-on-her-luck, determined woman on the game, who charms her dour boss and makes it worth everybody's while in the enormously successful Pretty Woman. Erin Brockovich isn't a hooker, of course. She just dresses like one. Her clients are ordinary exploited folk, not wealthy tricks. Like the actress, who went to New York instead of college after high school, the crusader is funny, smart, charming and unsinkable. Hers is a grittier tale, but so was Three Thousand (the original title of Pretty Woman) before it was transformed into a Cinderella fantasy with a rags-to-Rodeo Drive ending. After director Steven Soderbergh convinced Hollywood's top female earner that the Brockovich tale was more than a TV movie, she threw herself into the role, creating a passionate, appealing human and earning the respect of the woman she played. Like Texan Matthew McConaughey, the 33-year-old Georgian has weathered a media firestorm. Like him, she's survived her share of clinkers, including Dying Young, I Love Trouble, Mary Reilly and now probably The Mexican with Brad Pitt and James Gandolfini. And one British critic unkindly noted that she looked more like a horsefly than the fairy Tinkerbell in Peter Pan. After media-scrutinized relationships with co-stars Liam Neeson, Dylan McDermott, Kiefer Sutherland and a less-than-two-year marriage to Texas country singer Lyle Lovett, she seems to have reached a happy, less-publicized plateau with former Law and Order star Benjamin Bratt. If Ms. Roberts, who gave a sparkling acceptance speech at the Globes, wins, you can bet he'll get another verbal thank-you from the podium.
The nominees(The Dallas Morning News is analyzing the prospects of each nominee in the Academy Awards' major categories. The result: our Oscar Quotient. Nominees have been graded on a scale of 1 to 10. The higher the number, the more likely a victory.)
Julia Roberts
Laura Linney
Ellen Burstyn
Juliette Binoche
Joan Allen
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